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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Brighton weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Brighton today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 23% chance of rain.

19°17°
20°13°
20°10°
22°12°
22°13°
20°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 18°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low 16°·Rain 21%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 16°·Rain 3%
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Brighton weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Brighton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Brighton swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in August to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1106 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 7 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 17 frost nights, and rain on 147 days.

Warmest month
August
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
1106 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
284,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
82/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
7 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
17 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
147 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Brighton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Brighton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Brighton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Brighton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Tue
Clear
22° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
22° 13°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
21° 12°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
23° 14°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
19° 14°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
19° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 16°
±4°

Brighton, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Brighton right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Brighton's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Brighton weather by month

what to expect in Brighton through the year

Here is Brighton's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Brighton by season.

Jan
Cool
Feb
10°
Cool
Mar
10°
Cool
Apr
12°
Cool
May
16°
Mild
Jun
19°
12°
Mild
Jul
19°
14°
Mild
Aug
20°
14°
Mild
Sep
20°
14°
Mild
Oct
16°
11°
Mild
Wettest
Nov
11°
Cool
Dec
10°
Cool

What Brighton's weather is like through the year

Brighton runs from warm summers, with August highs near 20°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Brighton sees roughly 1106 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Brighton

The most comfortable time to visit Brighton is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Brighton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
81±1.0°C91±2.7 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
81±1.0°C95±1.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
77
/100rank #3
88±0.6°C93±2.1 mph5374% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Brighton, scoring 82/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 81. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°±18%3% to 21% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±2%21% to 23% chance
Mon±2°20° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°21° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°20° to 23°±3%3% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Brighton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Brighton today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Brighton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Brighton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Brighton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brighton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Brighton (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Brighton?
August is typically the warmest month in Brighton, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Brighton get?
The coldest month in Brighton is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Brighton get?
Brighton sees roughly 1106 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Brighton?
The most comfortable time to visit Brighton is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Brighton?
Rarely - Brighton very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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