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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Broadstairs weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Broadstairs today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 19°, with a 39% chance of rain.

22°16°
19°14°
20°12°
21°14°
21°15°
19°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Drizzle
Today 22°·Low 17°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 16°·Rain 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 16°·Rain 6%
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Broadstairs weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East of England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East of England…

Broadstairs weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Broadstairs swings 18°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 4°C lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 855 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 9 frost nights, and rain on 139 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
4°C average low
Wettest month
March
855 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
23,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
9 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
139 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Broadstairs’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Broadstairs and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Broadstairs hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Broadstairs 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Tue
Clear
21° 14°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 15°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 15°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
20° 13°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
21° 14°
±2°
Mon
Partly cloudy
23° 17°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
24° 14°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 16°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 17°
±4°

Broadstairs, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 4°C), with roughly 855 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Broadstairs right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Broadstairs climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
19°
13°
Jul
21°
14°
Aug
22°
15°
Sep
20°
14°
Oct
16°
11°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Broadstairs?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C95±1.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C91±2.8 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C97±1.1 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 22°±43%6% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 19°±4%35% to 39% chance
Mon±2°19° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°19° to 22°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°19° to 23°±7%3% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Broadstairs

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Broadstairs today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Broadstairs today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Broadstairs today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Broadstairs and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Broadstairs?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Broadstairs (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Broadstairs?
August is typically the warmest month in Broadstairs, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Broadstairs get?
The coldest month in Broadstairs is January, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Broadstairs get?
Broadstairs sees roughly 855 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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