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CheckWeather UKBurnham-on-Sea
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Burnham-on-Sea weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Burnham-on-Sea today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 18°, with a 23% chance of rain.

19°16°
18°14°
19°12°
21°13°
20°12°
22°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 17°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Drizzle
Today 20°·Low 17°·Rain 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 15°·Rain 32%
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Burnham-on-Sea weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

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Burnham-on-Sea weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Burnham-on-Sea swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in June to 3°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1164 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 11 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 20 frost nights, and rain on 158 days.

Warmest month
June
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
September
1164 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
23,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
11 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
20 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
158 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Burnham-on-Sea’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Burnham-on-Sea and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Burnham-on-Sea hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Burnham-on-Sea 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 10°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 13°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 11°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±3°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
18° 13°
±3°

Burnham-on-Sea, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1164 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Burnham-on-Sea right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Burnham-on-Sea climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
11°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Burnham-on-Sea?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
81±1.1°C96±1.3 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C92±2.5 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
76
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C96±1.2 mph4771% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°±59%32% to 91% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree18° to 18°±4%19% to 23% chance
Mon±1°18° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°20° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°18° to 22°±16%0% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Burnham-on-Sea

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Burnham-on-Sea today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Burnham-on-Sea today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Burnham-on-Sea today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Burnham-on-Sea and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Burnham-on-Sea?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Burnham-on-Sea (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Burnham-on-Sea?
June is typically the warmest month in Burnham-on-Sea, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Burnham-on-Sea get?
The coldest month in Burnham-on-Sea is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Burnham-on-Sea get?
Burnham-on-Sea sees roughly 1164 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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