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CheckWeather UKBurton upon Trent
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Burton upon Trent weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Burton upon Trent today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 10% chance of rain.

21°15°
17°10°
21°
22°13°
20°12°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 16°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 14°·Rain 61%
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Burton upon Trent weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for West Midlands…

Burton upon Trent weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Burton upon Trent swings 18°C across the year, from 20°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1014 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 12 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 31 frost nights, and rain on 149 days.

Warmest month
June
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
July
1014 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
122,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
12 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
31 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
149 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Burton upon Trent’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Burton upon Trent and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Burton upon Trent hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Burton upon Trent 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
22° 13°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 10°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
19° 10°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
21° 10°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 11°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 14°
±2°

Burton upon Trent, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1014 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Burton upon Trent right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Burton upon Trent climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
20°
12°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Burton upon Trent?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
88
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C95±1.4 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C91±2.9 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 21°±3%61% to 64% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 17°±10%0% to 10% chance
Mon±3°20° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°20° to 24°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±4°17° to 22°±15%10% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Burton upon Trent

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Burton upon Trent today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Burton upon Trent today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Burton upon Trent today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Burton upon Trent and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Burton upon Trent?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Burton upon Trent (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Met Office at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Burton upon Trent?
June is typically the warmest month in Burton upon Trent, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Burton upon Trent get?
The coldest month in Burton upon Trent is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Burton upon Trent get?
Burton upon Trent sees roughly 1014 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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