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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Chard weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Chard's high today between 17° and 20°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 19°, with a 49% chance of rain.

18°10°
19°15°
20°13°
22°12°
21°14°
20°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 10°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Chard weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for South West England…

Chard weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Chard swings 18°C across the year, from 20°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1161 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 24 frost nights, and rain on 147 days.

Warmest month
June
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
1161 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
Met Office
83/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
24 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
147 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Chard’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Chard and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Chard hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Chard 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
22° 12°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
21° 14°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 12°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
23° 14°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
21° 11°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 12°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree

Chard, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1161 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Chard right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Chard climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
20°
13°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Chard?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±1.1 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
79
/100rank #2
72±1.6°C96±1.2 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C94±1.8 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°17° to 20°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±36%13% to 49% chance
Sun±1°19° to 21°±3%10% to 13% chance
Mon±5°20° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°19° to 25°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chard

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chard today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Chard today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chard today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Chard and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chard?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Chard (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the European at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chard?
June is typically the warmest month in Chard, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Chard get?
The coldest month in Chard is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Chard get?
Chard sees roughly 1161 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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