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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Hale weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Hale today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 16°, with a 29% chance of rain.

18°15°
16°11°
20°10°
21°14°
17°12°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Drizzle
Today 17°·Low 15°·Rain 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Drizzle
Today 19°·Low 15°·Rain 100%
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Hale weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Hale weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Hale swings 18°C across the year, from 20°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1236 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 10 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 32 frost nights, and rain on 180 days.

Warmest month
June
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
July
1236 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
17,000
share this forecast
Warm days
10 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
32 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
180 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Hale’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Hale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
18° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
21° 14°
±4°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
17° 12°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
17° 12°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 11°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 13°
models agree

Hale, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1236 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Hale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Hale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
18°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
20°
13°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.0 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±1.4 mph6983% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C93±2.2 mph6983% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°±4%96% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±22%7% to 29% chance
Mon±4°18° to 22°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±4°19° to 23°±15%0% to 15% chance
Wed±3°16° to 19°±36%13% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hale today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Hale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Hale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hale?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Hale forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested UK accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Hale?
June is typically the warmest month in Hale, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Hale get?
The coldest month in Hale is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Hale get?
Hale sees roughly 1236 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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