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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Halewood weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Halewood today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 9% chance of rain.

19°15°
16°12°
20°11°
21°14°
17°12°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 15°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 15°·Rain 61%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 15°·Rain 97%
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Halewood weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Halewood weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Halewood swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in June to 3°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1274 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 19 frost nights, and rain on 183 days.

Warmest month
June
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
July
1274 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
20,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
19 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
183 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Halewood’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Halewood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Halewood hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Halewood 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 11°
±2°
Tue
Partly cloudy
21° 14°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
17° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
18° 12°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 14°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 11°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 13°
models agree

Halewood, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1274 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Halewood right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Halewood climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
10°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
19°
13°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Halewood?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
85±0.9°C97±1.0 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C97±1.0 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C95±1.4 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree19° to 19°±36%61% to 97% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree16° to 16°±9%0% to 9% chance
Mon±2°19° to 22°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±9%3% to 12% chance
Wed±2°16° to 17°±34%11% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Halewood

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Halewood today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Halewood today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Halewood today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Halewood and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Halewood?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Halewood (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Halewood?
June is typically the warmest month in Halewood, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Halewood get?
The coldest month in Halewood is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Halewood get?
Halewood sees roughly 1274 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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