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CheckWeather UKInverurie
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Inverurie weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Inverurie today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 4% chance of rain.

16°10°
16°11°
15°
18°
20°12°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
Met OfficeUKMO model
15°
Drizzle
Today 15°·Low 10°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light rain
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 87%
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Inverurie weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Grampian

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Grampian…

Inverurie weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Inverurie swings 17°C across the year, from 18°C highs in August to 1°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1082 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 55 frost nights, and rain on 168 days.

Warmest month
August
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
1082 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
84/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
55 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
168 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Inverurie’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Inverurie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Inverurie hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Inverurie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
18°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree

Inverurie, Scotland is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1082 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Inverurie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Inverurie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
10°
May
15°
Jun
17°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
18°
10°
Sep
16°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Inverurie?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C97±0.9 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C92±2.4 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
76
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C95±1.5 mph4771% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°±5%87% to 92% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree16° to 16°±4%0% to 4% chance
Sunmodels agree15° to 15°±10%0% to 10% chance
Mon±4°17° to 21°±13%36% to 49% chance
Tue±4°17° to 22°±7%19% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Inverurie

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 33m

Common questions

What's the weather in Inverurie today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Inverurie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Inverurie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Inverurie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Inverurie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Inverurie (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Inverurie?
August is typically the warmest month in Inverurie, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Inverurie get?
The coldest month in Inverurie is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Inverurie get?
Inverurie sees roughly 1082 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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