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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Islington weather

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Heavy drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Islington today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 19°, with a 26% chance of rain.

21°16°
19°15°
21°12°
24°15°
23°14°
20°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Heavy drizzle
Today 22°·Low 17°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 16°·Rain 56%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 16°·Rain 17%
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Islington weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Islington weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Islington swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 861 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 21 days a year at 25°C or above, 4 of them at 30°C or above, 27 frost nights, and rain on 133 days.

Warmest month
June
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
861 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
319,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
21 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
27 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
133 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Islington’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Islington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Islington hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Islington 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 12°
±2°
Tue
Mostly clear
24° 15°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
23° 14°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
24° 15°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
20° 14°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
19° 12°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 16°
±4°

Islington, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Islington right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Islington's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Islington weather by month

what to expect in Islington through the year

Here is Islington's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Islington by season.

Jan
Cool
Feb
11°
Cool
Mar
11°
Cool
Apr
13°
Cool
May
18°
Mild
Jun
22°
11°
Warm
Jul
21°
13°
Mild
Aug
22°
13°
Warm
Sep
21°
13°
Mild
Wettest
Oct
16°
Mild
Nov
11°
Cool
Dec
10°
Cool

What Islington's weather is like through the year

Islington runs from warm summers, with June highs near 22°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). September is usually the wettest month, and Islington sees roughly 861 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Islington

The most comfortable time to visit Islington is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Islington?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C95±1.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
75
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C96±1.1 mph4771% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Islington, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 78. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°±39%17% to 56% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 20°±2%24% to 26% chance
Mon±2°21° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°22° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±5°20° to 25°±5%3% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Islington

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Islington today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Islington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Islington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Islington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Islington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Islington (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Islington?
June is typically the warmest month in Islington, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Islington get?
The coldest month in Islington is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Islington get?
Islington sees roughly 861 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Islington?
The most comfortable time to visit Islington is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Islington?
Rarely - Islington very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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