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CheckWeather UKMildenhall
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Mildenhall weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 20° in Mildenhall today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 22°, with a 25% chance of rain.

20°10°
22°16°
18°12°
23°11°
22°15°
21°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
Met OfficeUKMO model
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low 11°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain 18%
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Mildenhall weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East of England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East of England…

Mildenhall weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Mildenhall swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 827 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 17 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 28 frost nights, and rain on 134 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
July
827 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
17 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
28 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
134 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Mildenhall’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Mildenhall and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mildenhall hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mildenhall 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±2°
Sun
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 11°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
22° 15°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 14°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
21° 12°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
25° 13°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
23° 15°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
20° 10°
±4°
Tue
Clear
23° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 15°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
16° 12°
models agree

Mildenhall, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 827 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Mildenhall right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Mildenhall climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
16°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Mildenhall?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.5 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C96±1.2 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C90±3.2 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°±12%6% to 18% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 23°±7%18% to 25% chance
Sun±1°18° to 18°±18%6% to 24% chance
Mon±2°22° to 24°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±5°20° to 25°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mildenhall

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
19:06
Daylight
12h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mildenhall today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Mildenhall today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mildenhall today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Mildenhall and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mildenhall?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mildenhall (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Met Office at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mildenhall?
August is typically the warmest month in Mildenhall, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Mildenhall get?
The coldest month in Mildenhall is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Mildenhall get?
Mildenhall sees roughly 827 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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