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CheckWeather UKMorpeth
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Morpeth weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Morpeth today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 17°, with a 23% chance of rain.

16°11°
17°12°
16°10°
20°10°
21°14°
19°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 46%
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Morpeth weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North East England…

Morpeth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Morpeth swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 3°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 938 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 23 frost nights, and rain on 156 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
July
938 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, August and September
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
23 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
156 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Morpeth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Morpeth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morpeth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morpeth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
16° 10°
±2°
Mon
Drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 12°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
15° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
16° 10°
models agree

Morpeth, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 938 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Morpeth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Morpeth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
15°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
16°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Morpeth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C96±1.1 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
90
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±1.2 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
90
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C98±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 16°±42%46% to 88% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±3%20% to 23% chance
Sun±2°15° to 17°±4%0% to 4% chance
Monmodels agree20° to 21°±8%25% to 33% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±6%10% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morpeth

today, local time
Sunrise
06:44
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
12h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morpeth today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Morpeth today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morpeth today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Morpeth and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morpeth?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Morpeth (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Met Office at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morpeth?
August is typically the warmest month in Morpeth, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Morpeth get?
The coldest month in Morpeth is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Morpeth get?
Morpeth sees roughly 938 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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