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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Salford weather

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Heavy drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Salford today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 29% chance of rain.

19°15°
16°12°
19°10°
20°14°
17°12°
18°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Heavy drizzle
Today 19°·Low 15°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 15°·Rain 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Drizzle
Today 19°·Low 14°·Rain 100%
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Salford weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North West England…

Salford weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Salford swings 18°C across the year, from 20°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1330 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 9 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 34 frost nights, and rain on 192 days.

Warmest month
June
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
July
1330 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
130,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
9 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
34 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
192 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Salford’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Salford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Salford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Salford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 14°
±4°
Wed
Light rain
17° 12°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
18° 11°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 14°
models agree

Salford, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1330 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Salford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Salford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Salford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C95±1.5 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±1.7 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±4%96% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±22%7% to 29% chance
Mon±3°18° to 21°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±4°18° to 22°±15%0% to 15% chance
Wed±2°16° to 19°±36%13% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Salford

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
12h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Salford today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Salford today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Salford today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Salford and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Salford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Salford (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Met Office at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Salford?
June is typically the warmest month in Salford, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Salford get?
The coldest month in Salford is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Salford get?
Salford sees roughly 1330 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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