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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Sanderstead weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 20° in Sanderstead today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 18°, with a 29% chance of rain.

20°15°
18°12°
21°10°
23°13°
21°13°
19°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
Met OfficeUKMO model
20°
Light rain
Today 20°·Low 16°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 15°·Rain 29%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain 8%
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Sanderstead weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Sanderstead weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Sanderstead swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 888 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 16 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 29 frost nights, and rain on 138 days.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
888 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
Met Office
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
16 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
29 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
138 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Sanderstead’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Sanderstead and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sanderstead hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sanderstead 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
20° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 10°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
23° 13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21° 13°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 12°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
24° 14°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
23° 13°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
23° 13°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 15°
±3°

Sanderstead, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 888 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Sanderstead right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Sanderstead climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Sanderstead?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.0 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C96±1.2 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°19° to 21°±21%8% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±6%23% to 29% chance
Mon±2°20° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°21° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±5°19° to 24°±1%3% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sanderstead

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sanderstead today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Sanderstead today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sanderstead today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Sanderstead and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sanderstead?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Sanderstead (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sanderstead?
August is typically the warmest month in Sanderstead, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Sanderstead get?
The coldest month in Sanderstead is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Sanderstead get?
Sanderstead sees roughly 888 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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