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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Stone weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Stone's high today between 15° and 18°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 68% chance of rain.

17°10°
20°14°
16°
21°
21°14°
20°12°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Heavy drizzle
Today 17°·Low 11°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Drizzle
Today 15°·Low 11°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Drizzle
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 74%
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Stone weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for West Midlands…

Stone weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Stone swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1062 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 9 days a year at 25°C or above, 36 frost nights, and rain on 160 days.

Warmest month
June
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
1062 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Warm days
9 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
36 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
160 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Stone’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Stone and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Stone hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Stone 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
17° 10°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
21° 14°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 11°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
16° 10°
±4°

Stone, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1062 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Stone right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Stone climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
16°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.0 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±1.4 mph6983% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C93±2.2 mph6983% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 18°±26%74% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±31%37% to 68% chance
Sun±1°16° to 17°±9%1% to 10% chance
Mon±4°19° to 24°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tue±4°20° to 24°±4%6% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stone

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
12h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stone today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Stone today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stone today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Stone and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stone?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Stone forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested UK accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Stone?
June is typically the warmest month in Stone, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Stone get?
The coldest month in Stone is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Stone get?
Stone sees roughly 1062 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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