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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Torquay weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Torquay today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 45% chance of rain.

19°16°
20°13°
19°11°
20°12°
21°12°
19°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 16°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 16°·Rain 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 16°·Rain 32%
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Torquay weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for South West England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for South West England…

Torquay weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Torquay swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in June to 3°C lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1250 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 4 days a year at 25°C or above, 10 frost nights, and rain on 155 days.

Warmest month
June
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
March
1250 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
65,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
86/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
4 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
10 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
155 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Torquay’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Torquay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Torquay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Torquay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 11°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21° 12°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 14°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 13°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
19° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
18° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
18° 14°
±3°

Torquay, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1250 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Torquay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Torquay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
11°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
10°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
19°
13°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
19°
13°
Oct
16°
11°
Nov
12°
Dec
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Torquay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.1 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
75
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C95±1.6 mph4771% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C91±2.8 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°±67%32% to 99% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±15%30% to 45% chance
Mon±3°18° to 21°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tuemodels agree20° to 20°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°19° to 23°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Torquay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Torquay today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Torquay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Torquay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Torquay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Torquay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Torquay (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Met Office at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Torquay?
June is typically the warmest month in Torquay, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Torquay get?
The coldest month in Torquay is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Torquay get?
Torquay sees roughly 1250 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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