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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Wolverhampton weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 20° in Wolverhampton today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 6% chance of rain.

20°14°
17°10°
21°
22°14°
19°11°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 15°·Rain 58%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 13°·Rain 39%
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Wolverhampton weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

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Wolverhampton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Wolverhampton swings 18°C across the year, from 20°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1029 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 11 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 35 frost nights, and rain on 149 days.

Warmest month
June
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
1029 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
264,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
11 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
35 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
149 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Wolverhampton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Wolverhampton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wolverhampton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wolverhampton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
22° 14°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 11°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
18° 10°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
19° 10°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
21° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 12°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
17° 13°
±2°

Wolverhampton, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Wolverhampton right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Wolverhampton's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Wolverhampton weather by month

what to expect in Wolverhampton through the year

Here is Wolverhampton's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Wolverhampton by season.

Jan
Cold
Feb
Cool
Mar
10°
Cool
Apr
12°
Cool
May
17°
Mild
Jun
20°
11°
Mild
Jul
19°
12°
Mild
Aug
20°
12°
Mild
Sep
19°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
Cool
Dec
Cool

What Wolverhampton's weather is like through the year

Wolverhampton runs from warm summers, with June highs near 20°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Wolverhampton sees roughly 1029 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Wolverhampton

The most comfortable time to visit Wolverhampton is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wolverhampton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C97±0.9 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
85±0.9°C89±3.4 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Wolverhampton, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 84. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°20° to 21°±19%39% to 58% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree17° to 17°±6%0% to 6% chance
Mon±3°20° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±5°19° to 24°±1%2% to 3% chance
Wed±5°16° to 21°±27%7% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wolverhampton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:14
Daylight
12h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wolverhampton today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Wolverhampton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wolverhampton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Wolverhampton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wolverhampton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wolverhampton (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wolverhampton?
June is typically the warmest month in Wolverhampton, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Wolverhampton get?
The coldest month in Wolverhampton is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Wolverhampton get?
Wolverhampton sees roughly 1029 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Wolverhampton?
The most comfortable time to visit Wolverhampton is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Wolverhampton?
Rarely - Wolverhampton very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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