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CheckWeather AUAdelaide city centre
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Adelaide city centre weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Adelaide city centre today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 22°, with a 81% chance of rain.

24°11°
22°13°
15°
20°
25°
28°17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Clear
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Clear
Today 24°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Clear
Today 25°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Adelaide city centre and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Adelaide city centre hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Adelaide city centre 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
24° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
25°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
28° 17°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
30° 19°
±2°
Sat
Partly cloudy
30° 21°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
29° 20°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
24° 14°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 10°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
21° 11°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
24° 14°
±9°

Adelaide city centre is a small town of about 20,000 people in South Australia, sitting at 34.9°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Adelaide city centre with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Adelaide, Norwood, North Adelaide.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Adelaide city centre?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C93±3.4 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
78
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C94±3.1 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C93±3.7 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°24° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±74%7% to 81% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±68%5% to 73% chance
Tue±2°20° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°24° to 25°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Adelaide city centre

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Adelaide city centre today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Adelaide city centre today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Adelaide city centre today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Adelaide city centre and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Adelaide city centre?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Adelaide city centre (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather