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CheckWeather AUArmidale
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Armidale weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Armidale's high today between 21° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 25°, with a 0% chance of rain.

22°
25°
25°
22°
19°10°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Mostly clear
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Armidale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Armidale swings 24°C across the year, from 26°C highs in December to 2°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 653 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
26°C average high
Coldest month
July
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
653 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
21,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Armidale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Armidale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Armidale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
22°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
25°
models agree
Mon
Clear
25°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
19° 10°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
19°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
21°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
23°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
22°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
21°
±8°
Tue
Partly cloudy
23°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 11°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 10°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 10°
models agree

Armidale, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 653 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Armidale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Armidale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
14°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
23°
13°
Apr
17°
May
14°
Jun
12°
Jul
11°
Aug
15°
Sep
18°
Oct
20°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
26°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Armidale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
88
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±1.8 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C96±1.9 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°24° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°21° to 24°±32%5% to 37% chance
Wed±3°18° to 21°±46%38% to 84% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Armidale

today, local time
Sunrise
05:46
Sunset
17:47
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Armidale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Armidale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Armidale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Armidale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Armidale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Armidale (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Armidale?
December is typically the warmest month in Armidale, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Armidale get?
The coldest month in Armidale is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Armidale get?
Armidale sees roughly 653 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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