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Blackmans Bay weather

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Blackmans Bay weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Blackmans Bay swings 15°C across the year, from 21°C highs in January to 6°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 891 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
21°C average high
Coldest month
June
6°C average low
Wettest month
December
891 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
6,890
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Blackmans Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Blackmans Bay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Blackmans Bay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Blackmans Bay, Tasmania is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 891 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Blackmans Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Blackmans Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
21°
13°
Feb
21°
12°
Mar
19°
11°
Apr
16°
May
14°
Jun
12°
Jul
12°
Aug
13°
Sep
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
18°
Dec
20°
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Blackmans Bay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.9 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C92±3.8 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
74
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C94±2.8 km/t4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Blackmans Bay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Blackmans Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Blackmans Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Blackmans Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blackmans Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Blackmans Bay (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blackmans Bay?
January is typically the warmest month in Blackmans Bay, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Blackmans Bay get?
The coldest month in Blackmans Bay is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Blackmans Bay get?
Blackmans Bay sees roughly 891 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

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