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CheckWeather AUBull Creek
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bull Creek weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 19° in Bull Creek today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 65% chance of rain.

19°15°
20°14°
23°13°
22°12°
22°12°
21°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 15°·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Drizzle
Today 19°·Low 15°·Rain 87%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Showers
Today 20°·Low 15°·Rain 70%
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Bull Creek weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bull Creek swings 23°C across the year, from 33°C highs in February to 10°C lows in June, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 590 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
33°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
June
590 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, July and August
Residents
7,624
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bull Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bull Creek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bull Creek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 11°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
18°
models agree
Mon
Clear
20°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
21° 10°
models agree
Thu
Clear
20° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 11°
±4°

Bull Creek, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 33°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 590 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bull Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Bull Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
19°
Feb
33°
20°
Mar
30°
17°
Apr
25°
14°
May
23°
13°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
18°
10°
Aug
19°
10°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
25°
13°
Nov
28°
16°
Dec
32°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bull Creek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.6 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
85±0.9°C91±4.3 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C97±1.7 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 20°±28%70% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 21°±42%23% to 65% chance
Mon±2°23° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°21° to 23°±21%0% to 21% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±23%8% to 31% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bull Creek

today, local time
Sunrise
06:10
Sunset
18:10
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bull Creek today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Bull Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bull Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Bull Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bull Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bull Creek (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bull Creek?
February is typically the warmest month in Bull Creek, with average highs around 33°C.
How cold does Bull Creek get?
The coldest month in Bull Creek is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Bull Creek get?
Bull Creek sees roughly 590 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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