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CheckWeather AUBusselton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Busselton weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Busselton today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 19°, with a 52% chance of rain.

16°13°
19°10°
19°
19°10°
20°10°
19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 14°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low 13°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Thunderstorm
Today 17°·Low 13°·Rain 100%
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Busselton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Busselton swings 21°C across the year, from 31°C highs in February to 10°C lows in June, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 593 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
31°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
August
593 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
27,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Busselton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Busselton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Busselton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19° 10°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
19°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 11°
models agree

Busselton, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 593 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Busselton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Busselton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
30°
17°
Feb
31°
17°
Mar
28°
16°
Apr
24°
13°
May
21°
13°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
16°
10°
Aug
17°
10°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
21°
12°
Nov
25°
14°
Dec
28°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Busselton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C90±5.1 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±2.7 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree19° to 19°±44%8% to 52% chance
Mon±2°18° to 20°±18%0% to 18% chance
Tue±4°18° to 22°±25%10% to 35% chance
Wed±3°19° to 21°±38%10% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Busselton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Busselton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Busselton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Busselton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Busselton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Busselton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Busselton (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Busselton?
February is typically the warmest month in Busselton, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Busselton get?
The coldest month in Busselton is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Busselton get?
Busselton sees roughly 593 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather