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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Canterbury weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 30° in Canterbury today. Tomorrow looks clear around 32°, with a 0% chance of rain.

30°12°
32°15°
29°15°
16°14°
19°15°
23°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
29°
Partly cloudy
Today 29°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Canterbury weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Canterbury swings 19°C across the year, from 27°C highs in February to 8°C lows in June, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 897 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
27°C average high
Coldest month
June
8°C average low
Wettest month
April
897 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, May and June
Residents
7,200
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Canterbury and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Canterbury hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Canterbury 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
30° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
32° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
29° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 15°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 14°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
28° 13°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
28° 16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 16°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 15°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
29° 14°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
25° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 17°
±5°

Canterbury, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 897 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Canterbury right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Canterbury climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
27°
19°
Mar
26°
18°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
10°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
20°
Sep
23°
10°
Oct
23°
13°
Nov
24°
17°
Dec
27°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Canterbury?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
78±1.2°C89±5.4 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C94±2.9 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C94±3.2 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°29° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°32° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°28° to 31°±61%0% to 61% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±57%11% to 68% chance
Wed±7°16° to 23°±60%18% to 78% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canterbury

today, local time
Sunrise
05:50
Sunset
17:50
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canterbury today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Canterbury today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Canterbury today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Canterbury and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canterbury?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Canterbury (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Canterbury?
February is typically the warmest month in Canterbury, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Canterbury get?
The coldest month in Canterbury is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Canterbury get?
Canterbury sees roughly 897 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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