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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Dapto weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Dapto's high today between 28° and 31°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 31°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°17°
31°14°
26°13°
15°12°
18°13°
23°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Partly cloudy
Today 28°·Low 16°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
31°
Cloudy
Today 31°·Low 18°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Cloudy
Today 29°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
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Dapto weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dapto swings 18°C across the year, from 26°C highs in February to 8°C lows in June, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1107 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
26°C average high
Coldest month
June
8°C average low
Wettest month
November
1107 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Dapto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dapto hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dapto 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
29° 17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
31° 14°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
26° 13°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
29° 14°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
30° 15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±10°
Mon
Mostly clear
24° 14°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
28° 13°
±4°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
24° 15°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
24° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±3°

Dapto, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 1107 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Dapto right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Dapto climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
18°
Feb
26°
18°
Mar
25°
17°
Apr
22°
13°
May
18°
10°
Jun
17°
Jul
17°
Aug
19°
Sep
22°
10°
Oct
22°
11°
Nov
24°
16°
Dec
26°
17°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dapto?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C93±3.7 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
74±1.5°C95±2.7 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
80
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C93±3.7 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°28° to 31°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°30° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°25° to 27°±93%5% to 98% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±63%14% to 77% chance
Wed±6°15° to 21°±53%25% to 78% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dapto

today, local time
Sunrise
05:51
Sunset
17:50
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dapto today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Dapto today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dapto today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Dapto and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dapto?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Dapto (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dapto?
February is typically the warmest month in Dapto, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Dapto get?
The coldest month in Dapto is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Dapto get?
Dapto sees roughly 1107 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather