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CheckWeather AUEsperance
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Esperance weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Esperance today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 17°, with a 66% chance of rain.

24°15°
17°11°
24°
25°12°
19°12°
20°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Drizzle
Today 24°·Low 16°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 15°·Rain 39%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Showers
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 70%
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Esperance weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Esperance swings 15°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 10°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 521 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
July
10°C average low
Wettest month
June
521 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Esperance and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Esperance hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Esperance 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
24° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
24°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
25° 12°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
17° 13°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
17°
±3°
Tue
Clear
22° 10°
±10°
Wed
Clear
21°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
26° 11°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±10°

Esperance, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 10°C), with roughly 521 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Esperance right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Esperance climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
25°
17°
Mar
23°
17°
Apr
21°
14°
May
20°
13°
Jun
16°
11°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
18°
11°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
21°
13°
Nov
22°
14°
Dec
23°
16°

Which forecast is most accurate in Esperance?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C93±3.5 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C93±3.3 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C95±2.6 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°±61%39% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree17° to 17°±61%5% to 66% chance
Mon±1°24° to 25°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±2°24° to 26°±59%12% to 71% chance
Wed±2°18° to 19°±9%35% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Esperance

today, local time
Sunrise
05:46
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Esperance today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Esperance today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Esperance today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Esperance and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Esperance?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Esperance (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Esperance?
February is typically the warmest month in Esperance, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Esperance get?
The coldest month in Esperance is July, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Esperance get?
Esperance sees roughly 521 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather