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CheckWeather AUFlagstaff Hill
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Flagstaff Hill weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Flagstaff Hill today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 21°, with a 81% chance of rain.

23°11°
21°12°
13°
19°
24°
27°17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
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Flagstaff Hill weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Flagstaff Hill swings 19°C across the year, from 27°C highs in January to 8°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 718 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
27°C average high
Coldest month
July
8°C average low
Wettest month
June
718 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and August
Residents
9,624
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Flagstaff Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Flagstaff Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Flagstaff Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
23° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
19°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
27° 17°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
29° 18°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
29° 20°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
28° 19°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
22° 14°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
23° 12°
±10°

Flagstaff Hill, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 8°C), with roughly 718 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Flagstaff Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Flagstaff Hill climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
27°
16°
Feb
27°
16°
Mar
25°
16°
Apr
19°
12°
May
17°
10°
Jun
14°
Jul
14°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
20°
11°
Nov
23°
13°
Dec
25°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Flagstaff Hill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C94±2.8 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C94±3.2 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C93±3.4 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree23° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°±74%7% to 81% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±67%6% to 73% chance
Tue±2°18° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°23° to 25°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Flagstaff Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Flagstaff Hill today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Flagstaff Hill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Flagstaff Hill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Flagstaff Hill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Flagstaff Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Flagstaff Hill (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Flagstaff Hill?
January is typically the warmest month in Flagstaff Hill, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Flagstaff Hill get?
The coldest month in Flagstaff Hill is July, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Flagstaff Hill get?
Flagstaff Hill sees roughly 718 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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