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CheckWeather AUGracemere
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Gracemere weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Gracemere's high today between 27° and 30°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 31°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°12°
31°12°
30°13°
28°14°
26°17°
27°17°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Clear
Today 27°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Clear
Today 30°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
28°
Mostly clear
Today 28°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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Gracemere weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Gracemere swings 20°C across the year, from 32°C highs in January to 12°C lows in July, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 827 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
32°C average high
Coldest month
July
12°C average low
Wettest month
December
827 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Gracemere and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gracemere hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gracemere 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
29° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
31° 12°
±2°
Mon
Mostly clear
30° 13°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
28° 14°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
27° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
25° 16°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
25° 15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
25° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
26° 16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
27° 16°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
27° 16°
models agree

Gracemere, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 12°C), with roughly 827 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Gracemere right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Gracemere climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
23°
Feb
32°
23°
Mar
32°
22°
Apr
28°
19°
May
26°
15°
Jun
24°
13°
Jul
23°
12°
Aug
26°
14°
Sep
28°
16°
Oct
30°
18°
Nov
31°
21°
Dec
32°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in Gracemere?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
94
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C97±1.7 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
88
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C93±3.7 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°27° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°30° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°29° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°26° to 30°±10%0% to 10% chance
Wed±1°26° to 27°±42%3% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gracemere

today, local time
Sunrise
05:51
Sunset
17:53
Daylight
12h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gracemere today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Gracemere today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Gracemere today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Gracemere and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gracemere?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gracemere (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gracemere?
January is typically the warmest month in Gracemere, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Gracemere get?
The coldest month in Gracemere is July, when overnight lows average about 12°C.
How much rain does Gracemere get?
Gracemere sees roughly 827 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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