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CheckWeather AUHervey Bay
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Hervey Bay weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Hervey Bay's high today between 23° and 28°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 26°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

26°11°
26°15°
25°16°
26°16°
24°18°
24°18°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Clear
Today 26°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Fog
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
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Hervey Bay weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hervey Bay swings 17°C across the year, from 30°C highs in February to 13°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 896 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
30°C average high
Coldest month
June
13°C average low
Wettest month
December
896 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
52,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hervey Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hervey Bay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hervey Bay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
26° 11°
±5°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
26° 15°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
25° 16°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
26° 16°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
23° 16°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
25° 16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
24° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 17°
±3°

Hervey Bay, Queensland is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 13°C), with roughly 896 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hervey Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Hervey Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
23°
Feb
30°
22°
Mar
29°
22°
Apr
27°
19°
May
24°
15°
Jun
22°
13°
Jul
22°
13°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
24°
16°
Oct
26°
19°
Nov
27°
21°
Dec
29°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hervey Bay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C93±3.5 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
80
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±3.1 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
78
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C97±1.6 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°23° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°24° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°24° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°26° to 27°±7%0% to 7% chance
Wed±1°24° to 24°±44%9% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hervey Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
05:42
Sunset
17:43
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hervey Bay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Hervey Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hervey Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Hervey Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hervey Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Hervey Bay (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hervey Bay?
February is typically the warmest month in Hervey Bay, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Hervey Bay get?
The coldest month in Hervey Bay is June, when overnight lows average about 13°C.
How much rain does Hervey Bay get?
Hervey Bay sees roughly 896 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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