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CheckWeather AUKeilor East
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Keilor East weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 26° in Keilor East today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 27°, with a 10% chance of rain.

26°13°
27°14°
16°
16°
21°
25°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 14°·Rain 5%
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Keilor East weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Keilor East swings 19°C across the year, from 26°C highs in February to 7°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 736 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
26°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
December
736 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Keilor East and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Keilor East hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Keilor East 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
26° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
27° 14°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
16°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
27° 17°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
27° 15°
±2°
Sun
Cloudy
27° 13°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 18°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
19° 11°
±10°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±6°

Keilor East, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 736 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Keilor East right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Keilor East climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
14°
Feb
26°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
19°
10°
May
16°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
12°
Dec
24°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Keilor East?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.2 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
85
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±2.6 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 26°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±2°25° to 28°±10%0% to 10% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±18%15% to 33% chance
Tue±3°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Keilor East

today, local time
Sunrise
06:15
Sunset
18:14
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Keilor East today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Keilor East today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Keilor East today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Keilor East and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Keilor East?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Keilor East (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Keilor East?
February is typically the warmest month in Keilor East, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Keilor East get?
The coldest month in Keilor East is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Keilor East get?
Keilor East sees roughly 736 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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