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CheckWeather AULaunceston
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Launceston weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Launceston's high today between 20° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 21°, with a 7% chance of rain.

22°10°
21°
14°
16°
17°
19°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 11°·Rain 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 10°·Rain 3%
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Launceston weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Launceston swings 20°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 5°C lows in June, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 809 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
June
5°C average low
Wettest month
June
809 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
91,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Launceston and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Launceston hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Launceston 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
21° 10°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
20°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
15°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
23°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
17°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
18°
±8°

Launceston, Tasmania. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Launceston right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Launceston's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Launceston weather by month

what to expect in Launceston through the year

Here is Launceston's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Launceston by season.

Jan
24°
13°
Warm
Feb
25°
12°
Warm
Mar
22°
11°
Warm
Apr
18°
Mild
May
15°
Mild
Jun
12°
Cool
Wettest
Jul
12°
Cool
Aug
14°
Cool
Sep
15°
Mild
Oct
17°
Mild
Nov
21°
10°
Mild
Dec
23°
12°
Warm

What Launceston's weather is like through the year

Launceston runs from warm summers, with February highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 5°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Launceston sees roughly 809 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Launceston

The most comfortable time to visit Launceston is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Launceston?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.4 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C91±4.5 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
86
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C88±5.9 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Launceston, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 90. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 23°±80%0% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±7%0% to 7% chance
Monmodels agree13° to 14°±19%3% to 22% chance
Tuemodels agree16° to 17°±13%0% to 13% chance
Wedmodels agree17° to 17°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Launceston

today, local time
Sunrise
06:06
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Launceston today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Launceston today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Launceston today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Launceston and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Launceston?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Launceston (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Launceston?
February is typically the warmest month in Launceston, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Launceston get?
The coldest month in Launceston is June, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Launceston get?
Launceston sees roughly 809 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Launceston?
The most comfortable time to visit Launceston is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Launceston?
Rarely - Launceston very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

More AU weather