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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Mackay weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Mackay today. Tomorrow looks clear around 27°, with a 0% chance of rain.

25°13°
27°11°
27°12°
26°13°
25°18°
25°18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Mostly clear
Today 25°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Partly cloudy
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Fog
Today 25°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
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Mackay weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mackay swings 13°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 16°C lows in June, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1393 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
16°C average low
Wettest month
January
1393 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
84,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mackay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mackay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mackay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
25° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
27° 11°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
27° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 13°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
25° 18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
25° 18°
models agree
Fri
Showers
24° 18°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
22° 18°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
24° 19°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
25° 18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
26° 18°
models agree

Mackay, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Mackay right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Mackay's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mackay weather by month

what to expect in Mackay through the year

Here is Mackay's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Mackay by season.

Jan
29°
25°
Hot
Wettest
Feb
29°
24°
Hot
Mar
29°
24°
Hot
Apr
27°
22°
Warm
May
24°
18°
Warm
Jun
23°
16°
Warm
Jul
22°
16°
Warm
Aug
23°
16°
Warm
Sep
25°
19°
Warm
Oct
27°
20°
Warm
Nov
28°
23°
Warm
Dec
29°
24°
Hot

What Mackay's weather is like through the year

Mackay runs from warm summers, with January highs near 29°C, to cool winters, when June lows sit around 16°C (a swing of about 13°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Mackay sees roughly 1393 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Mackay

The most comfortable time to visit Mackay is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mackay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
73
/100rank #1
62±2.1°C95±2.7 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
69
/100rank #2
66±1.9°C95±2.7 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
60
/100rank #3
54±2.6°C95±2.4 km/t4268% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for Mackay, scoring 73/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 69. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree25° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°27° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°26° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°26° to 26°±13%0% to 13% chance
Wed±1°24° to 26°±78%17% to 95% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mackay

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
12h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mackay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mackay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mackay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mackay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mackay?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Mackay (CheckWeather Score 73/100), ahead of the German at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mackay?
January is typically the warmest month in Mackay, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Mackay get?
The coldest month in Mackay is June, when overnight lows average about 16°C.
How much rain does Mackay get?
Mackay sees roughly 1393 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Mackay?
The most comfortable time to visit Mackay is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Mackay?
Rarely - Mackay very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

More AU weather