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CheckWeather AUManly West
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Manly West weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 28° in Manly West today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 27°, with a 0% chance of rain.

28°12°
27°14°
28°15°
26°16°
24°18°
23°17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
29°
Mostly clear
Today 29°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Fog
Today 29°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
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Manly West weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Manly West swings 18°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 11°C lows in June, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1132 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
11°C average low
Wettest month
November
1132 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Manly West and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Manly West hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Manly West 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
28° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
27° 14°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
28° 15°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
26° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 17°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24° 15°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
24° 16°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
24° 17°
models agree

Manly West, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 1132 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Manly West right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Manly West climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
21°
Feb
29°
21°
Mar
28°
21°
Apr
26°
17°
May
22°
13°
Jun
22°
11°
Jul
21°
11°
Aug
23°
13°
Sep
24°
14°
Oct
26°
16°
Nov
27°
19°
Dec
29°
21°

Which forecast is most accurate in Manly West?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C97±1.7 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C91±4.3 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°28° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°26° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°27° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°25° to 27°±11%1% to 12% chance
Wed±2°23° to 25°±47%10% to 57% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Manly West

today, local time
Sunrise
05:41
Sunset
17:42
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Manly West today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Manly West today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manly West today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Manly West and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manly West?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manly West (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manly West?
January is typically the warmest month in Manly West, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Manly West get?
The coldest month in Manly West is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Manly West get?
Manly West sees roughly 1132 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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