Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Manly weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 29° in Manly today. Tomorrow looks clear around 27°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°12°
27°15°
29°15°
16°15°
19°15°
21°16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Partly cloudy
Today 28°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
29°
Cloudy
Today 29°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Cloudy
Today 29°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Manly weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Manly swings 18°C across the year, from 27°C highs in December to 9°C lows in June, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1051 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
27°C average high
Coldest month
June
9°C average low
Wettest month
January
1051 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and May
Residents
16,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Manly and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Manly hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Manly 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
29° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
27° 15°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
29° 15°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 15°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
23° 15°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
24° 15°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 16°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
20° 16°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
26° 15°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 18°
±3°

Manly, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1051 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Manly right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Manly climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
26°
19°
Mar
26°
18°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
Jul
17°
Aug
19°
10°
Sep
23°
12°
Oct
23°
13°
Nov
24°
17°
Dec
27°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Manly?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C94±2.9 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°28° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°26° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°28° to 31°±63%0% to 63% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±43%27% to 70% chance
Wed±5°16° to 22°±41%38% to 79% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Manly

today, local time
Sunrise
05:49
Sunset
17:49
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Manly today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Manly today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manly today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Manly and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manly?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manly (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manly?
December is typically the warmest month in Manly, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Manly get?
The coldest month in Manly is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Manly get?
Manly sees roughly 1051 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather