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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Melton weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Melton today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 25°, with a 9% chance of rain.

24°14°
25°14°
14°
15°
20°
25°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 15°·Rain 29%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 5%
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Melton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Melton swings 20°C across the year, from 26°C highs in February to 6°C lows in June, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 663 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
26°C average high
Coldest month
June
6°C average low
Wettest month
December
663 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
7,999
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Melton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Melton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Melton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
25° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
25°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 16°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
26° 12°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
26° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
±10°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 11°
±4°

Melton, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 663 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Melton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Melton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
14°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
24°
12°
Apr
18°
10°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
15°
Sep
17°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
11°
Dec
24°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Melton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C95±2.7 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C96±1.9 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C96±2.1 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°24° to 25°±29%0% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±2°25° to 26°±9%0% to 9% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±20%15% to 35% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°19° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Melton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Melton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Melton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Melton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Melton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Melton?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Melton (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Melton?
February is typically the warmest month in Melton, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Melton get?
The coldest month in Melton is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Melton get?
Melton sees roughly 663 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather