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CheckWeather AUMildura
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Mildura weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mildura's high today between 25° and 29°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 32°, with a 3% chance of rain.

27°
32°12°
18°
19°
25°
32°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
25°
Clear
Today 25°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
29°
Clear
Today 29°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Mildura weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mildura swings 27°C across the year, from 33°C highs in January to 6°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 256 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
33°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
November
256 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and August
Residents
35,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mildura and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mildura hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mildura 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
27°
±3°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
32° 12°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Tue
Clear
19°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
25°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
32° 12°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
33° 16°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
32° 21°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
32° 19°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
29° 18°
±6°
Tue
Drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 12°
±9°
Thu
Mostly clear
23° 12°
±9°
Fri
Clear
24° 14°
±8°

Mildura, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 33°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 256 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mildura right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mildura climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
33°
19°
Feb
33°
18°
Mar
30°
17°
Apr
22°
11°
May
19°
Jun
16°
Jul
15°
Aug
19°
Sep
23°
Oct
26°
12°
Nov
29°
16°
Dec
32°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mildura?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.9 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
91
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C97±1.7 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
79±1.1°C84±7.8 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°25° to 29°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°31° to 34°±3%0% to 3% chance
Mon±3°17° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°24° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mildura

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
18:25
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mildura today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mildura today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mildura today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mildura and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mildura?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mildura (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mildura?
January is typically the warmest month in Mildura, with average highs around 33°C.
How cold does Mildura get?
The coldest month in Mildura is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Mildura get?
Mildura sees roughly 256 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather