Pakenham weather
Loading live data…Cloudy,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Pakenham today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 26°, with a 22% chance of rain.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Pakenham weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsPakenham swings 20°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 6°C lows in July, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 914 mm of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Pakenham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Pakenham hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Pakenham 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitPakenham, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 914 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Pakenham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Pakenham climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearWhich forecast is most accurate in Pakenham?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.