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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Rockingham weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Rockingham today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 19°, with a 68% chance of rain.

18°16°
19°14°
20°12°
19°12°
19°13°
18°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 15°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Drizzle
Today 17°·Low 16°·Rain 90%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Light rain
Today 19°·Low 16°·Rain 38%
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Rockingham weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Rockingham swings 19°C across the year, from 30°C highs in February to 11°C lows in June, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 608 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
30°C average high
Coldest month
June
11°C average low
Wettest month
July
608 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and August
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Rockingham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rockingham hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rockingham 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18° 12°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±6°

Rockingham, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 608 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Rockingham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Rockingham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
19°
Feb
30°
20°
Mar
28°
18°
Apr
24°
15°
May
22°
14°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
17°
12°
Aug
18°
11°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
22°
14°
Nov
26°
16°
Dec
28°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rockingham?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C97±1.4 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C89±5.7 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C95±2.7 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 19°±62%38% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree19° to 19°±53%15% to 68% chance
Mon±3°18° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°18° to 20°±18%2% to 20% chance
Wed±1°18° to 20°±12%6% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rockingham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:11
Sunset
18:11
Daylight
12h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rockingham today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Rockingham today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rockingham today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Rockingham and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rockingham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rockingham (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rockingham?
February is typically the warmest month in Rockingham, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Rockingham get?
The coldest month in Rockingham is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Rockingham get?
Rockingham sees roughly 608 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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