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CheckWeather AUShailer Park
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Shailer Park weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Shailer Park's high today between 28° and 31°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 29°, with a 0% chance of rain.

30°11°
29°13°
31°14°
26°15°
23°16°
23°16°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
31°
Clear
Today 31°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
31°
Fog
Today 31°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
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Shailer Park weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Shailer Park swings 21°C across the year, from 30°C highs in January to 9°C lows in June, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1136 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
30°C average high
Coldest month
June
9°C average low
Wettest month
November
1136 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Shailer Park and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Shailer Park hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Shailer Park 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
30° 11°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
29° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
31° 14°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 16°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 13°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 14°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 13°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
24° 15°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
25° 15°
±3°

Shailer Park, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1136 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Shailer Park right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Shailer Park climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
30°
20°
Feb
30°
20°
Mar
29°
20°
Apr
26°
16°
May
23°
12°
Jun
22°
Jul
21°
10°
Aug
24°
12°
Sep
26°
13°
Oct
27°
15°
Nov
28°
18°
Dec
30°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in Shailer Park?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.4 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
75
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±1.8 km/t4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C92±3.8 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°28° to 31°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°28° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°28° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°25° to 26°±22%0% to 22% chance
Wed±2°22° to 24°±62%5% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shailer Park

today, local time
Sunrise
05:40
Sunset
17:41
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shailer Park today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Shailer Park today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Shailer Park today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Shailer Park and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shailer Park?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shailer Park (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the German at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shailer Park?
January is typically the warmest month in Shailer Park, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Shailer Park get?
The coldest month in Shailer Park is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Shailer Park get?
Shailer Park sees roughly 1136 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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