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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Shepparton weather

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Mostly clear,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Shepparton today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 26°, with a 5% chance of rain.

22°
26°
15°
18°
21°
25°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Mostly clear
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low ·Rain 3%
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Shepparton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Shepparton swings 25°C across the year, from 30°C highs in February to 5°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 570 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
30°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
June
570 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, August and September
Residents
32,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Shepparton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Shepparton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Shepparton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
22°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
26°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
25°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
26° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
26° 15°
±3°
Sun
Showers
27° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
27° 15°
±4°
Tue
Drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
±5°
Fri
Clear
22° 11°
±5°

Shepparton, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 570 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Shepparton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Shepparton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
16°
Feb
30°
16°
Mar
27°
15°
Apr
21°
10°
May
17°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
19°
Oct
21°
Nov
26°
13°
Dec
29°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Shepparton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.3 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C97±1.3 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C93±3.4 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±4°24° to 28°±5%0% to 5% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±3°16° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°20° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shepparton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:12
Sunset
18:11
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shepparton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Shepparton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Shepparton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Shepparton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shepparton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shepparton (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shepparton?
February is typically the warmest month in Shepparton, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Shepparton get?
The coldest month in Shepparton is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Shepparton get?
Shepparton sees roughly 570 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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