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CheckWeather AUVictoria Point
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Victoria Point weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Victoria Point's high today between 26° and 30°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 27°, with a 0% chance of rain.

28°12°
27°14°
28°14°
25°16°
23°18°
23°17°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Clear
Today 28°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Clear
Today 30°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
26°
Fog
Today 26°·Low 12°·Rain 0%
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Victoria Point weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Victoria Point swings 17°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 11°C lows in June, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1098 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
June
11°C average low
Wettest month
November
1098 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Victoria Point and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Victoria Point hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Victoria Point 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
28° 12°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
27° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
28° 14°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
25° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
24° 16°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
24° 16°
models agree

Victoria Point, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 1098 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Victoria Point right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Victoria Point climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
28°
22°
Feb
28°
22°
Mar
27°
21°
Apr
25°
18°
May
22°
13°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
20°
11°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
23°
15°
Oct
24°
17°
Nov
26°
20°
Dec
28°
22°

Which forecast is most accurate in Victoria Point?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C93±3.7 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±2.5 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
65
/100rank #3
72±1.5°C96±2.0 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°26° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°27° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°26° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°24° to 25°±22%0% to 22% chance
Wedmodels agree23° to 23°±62%5% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Victoria Point

today, local time
Sunrise
05:40
Sunset
17:41
Daylight
12h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Victoria Point today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Victoria Point today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Victoria Point today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Victoria Point and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Victoria Point?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Victoria Point (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Victoria Point?
January is typically the warmest month in Victoria Point, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Victoria Point get?
The coldest month in Victoria Point is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Victoria Point get?
Victoria Point sees roughly 1098 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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