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CheckWeather CAAhuntsic-Cartierville
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Ahuntsic-Cartierville weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Ahuntsic-Cartierville's high today between 15° and 18°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 16°, with a 81% chance of rain.

16°
16°
16°
15°
18°
18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Clear
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Partly cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Ahuntsic-Cartierville weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Ahuntsic-Cartierville swings 38°C across the year, from 27°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1226 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 63 days a year at 25°C or above, 10 of them at 30°C or above, 148 frost nights, and rain on 142 days.

Warmest month
July
27°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
August
1226 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
135,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
63 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
148 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
142 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Ahuntsic-Cartierville’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Ahuntsic-Cartierville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ahuntsic-Cartierville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ahuntsic-Cartierville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
16°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light rain
16°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
19° 11°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Sun
Clear
19°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18° 14°
models agree
Wed
Rain
22° 14°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 12°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
15°
±3°

Ahuntsic-Cartierville, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1226 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Ahuntsic-Cartierville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Ahuntsic-Cartierville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-10°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
-4°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
27°
18°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-1°
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ahuntsic-Cartierville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.9 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C94±3.1 km/t9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C95±2.5 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°15° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±33%48% to 81% chance
Monmodels agree16° to 16°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wedmodels agree18° to 18°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ahuntsic-Cartierville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:57
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ahuntsic-Cartierville today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Ahuntsic-Cartierville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ahuntsic-Cartierville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Ahuntsic-Cartierville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ahuntsic-Cartierville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ahuntsic-Cartierville (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ahuntsic-Cartierville?
July is typically the warmest month in Ahuntsic-Cartierville, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Ahuntsic-Cartierville get?
The coldest month in Ahuntsic-Cartierville is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Ahuntsic-Cartierville get?
Ahuntsic-Cartierville sees roughly 1226 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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