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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Calgary weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Calgary's high today between 20° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 21°, with a 1% chance of rain.

21°
21°
24°
25°10°
22°
22°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
20°
Clear
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Clear
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Calgary weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Calgary swings 38°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -13°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 485 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 34 days a year at 25°C or above, 5 of them at 30°C or above, 188 frost nights, and rain on 95 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-13°C average low
Wettest month
June
485 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
1.3 million
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
34 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
188 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
95 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Calgary’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Calgary and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Calgary in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Calgary, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Calgary hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Calgary 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
21°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
21°
models agree
Sun
Clear
24°
models agree
Mon
Clear
25° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
22°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
22°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
13°
±5°
Sun
Clear
16°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
14°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11°
±8°

Calgary, Alberta. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Calgary right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Calgary's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Calgary weather by month

what to expect in Calgary through the year

Here is Calgary's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Calgary by season.

Jan
-3°
-13°
Cold
Feb
-11°
Cold
Mar
-12°
Cold
Apr
10°
-2°
Cool
May
18°
Mild
Jun
21°
Mild
Wettest
Jul
25°
12°
Warm
Aug
24°
11°
Warm
Sep
20°
Mild
Oct
12°
Cool
Nov
-6°
Cold
Dec
-7°
Cold

What Calgary's weather is like through the year

Calgary runs from warm summers, with July highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around -13°C (a swing of about 38°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Calgary sees roughly 485 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December), so Calgary sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Calgary

The most comfortable time to visit Calgary is usually May, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Calgary?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
73
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C90±4.8 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
63
/100rank #3
76±1.3°C91±4.5 km/t2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Calgary, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 73. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±2°23° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°24° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±12%2% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Calgary

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
12h 27m

Common questions

What's the weather in Calgary today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Calgary today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Calgary today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Calgary and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Calgary?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Calgary (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Calgary?
July is typically the warmest month in Calgary, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Calgary get?
The coldest month in Calgary is January, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Calgary get?
Calgary sees roughly 485 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Calgary?
The most comfortable time to visit Calgary is usually May, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Calgary?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December) in Calgary, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

More CA weather