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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bracebridge weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Bracebridge today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 29% chance of rain.

17°
20°
15°
17°
18°
19°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 1%
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Bracebridge weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Bracebridge swings 34°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -9°C lows in February, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1186 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 45 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 146 frost nights, and rain on 160 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-9°C average low
Wettest month
June
1186 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
16,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
45 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
146 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
160 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Bracebridge’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Bracebridge and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bracebridge hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bracebridge 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19° 10°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
21°
±3°
Sat
Clear
22°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
22°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 13°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
13°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
±7°

Bracebridge, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -9°C), with roughly 1186 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Bracebridge right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Bracebridge climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-1°
-7°
Feb
-9°
Mar
-4°
Apr
11°
May
19°
Jun
23°
14°
Jul
25°
17°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
22°
13°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec
-4°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bracebridge?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.3 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±2.5 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C93±3.5 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 18°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±22%7% to 29% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±1°18° to 19°±3%7% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bracebridge

today, local time
Sunrise
07:00
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bracebridge today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Bracebridge today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bracebridge today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Bracebridge and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bracebridge?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bracebridge (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bracebridge?
July is typically the warmest month in Bracebridge, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Bracebridge get?
The coldest month in Bracebridge is February, when overnight lows average about -9°C.
How much rain does Bracebridge get?
Bracebridge sees roughly 1186 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather