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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Carleton North weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Carleton North today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 14°, with a 67% chance of rain.

14°
14°
13°
15°
16°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Mostly clear
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Partly cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Carleton North weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Carleton North swings 40°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1248 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
July
1248 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
9,170
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Carleton North and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Carleton North hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Carleton North 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Tue
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Clear
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
18°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
17°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
18° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
models agree

Carleton North, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1248 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Carleton North right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Carleton North climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-12°
Feb
-3°
-14°
Mar
-6°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
17°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-1°
-8°

Which forecast is most accurate in Carleton North?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.6 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C94±3.2 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±2.3 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°13° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±26%41% to 67% chance
Mon±3°12° to 15°±11%41% to 52% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carleton North

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carleton North today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Carleton North today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carleton North today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Carleton North and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carleton North?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carleton North (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carleton North?
July is typically the warmest month in Carleton North, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Carleton North get?
The coldest month in Carleton North is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Carleton North get?
Carleton North sees roughly 1248 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather