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CheckWeather CACole Harbour
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Cole Harbour weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Cole Harbour's high today between 13° and 16°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 14°, with a 71% chance of rain.

15°
14°
16°10°
15°
17°
16°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Mostly clear
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Partly cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Cole Harbour weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Cole Harbour swings 32°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -8°C lows in February, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1656 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 25 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 121 frost nights, and rain on 139 days.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-8°C average low
Wettest month
June
1656 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
July, August, September and October
Residents
19,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
25 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
121 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
139 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Cole Harbour’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Cole Harbour and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cole Harbour hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cole Harbour 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±2°
Wed
Clear
17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
16° 11°
±7°
Sat
Drizzle
16° 10°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
17° 10°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
18° 11°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
19° 13°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
21° 10°
models agree

Cole Harbour, Nova Scotia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -8°C), with roughly 1656 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Cole Harbour right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Cole Harbour climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-8°
Mar
-2°
Apr
10°
May
15°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
24°
17°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
21°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cole Harbour?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.2 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C97±1.7 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°13° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±42%29% to 71% chance
Mon±3°14° to 17°±14%76% to 90% chance
Tue±2°14° to 17°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±1°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cole Harbour

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cole Harbour today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Cole Harbour today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cole Harbour today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Cole Harbour and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cole Harbour?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cole Harbour (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cole Harbour?
July is typically the warmest month in Cole Harbour, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Cole Harbour get?
The coldest month in Cole Harbour is February, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does Cole Harbour get?
Cole Harbour sees roughly 1656 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather