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Greater Sudbury weekend weather

This weekend in Greater Sudbury, Ontario, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 17° across the weekend. Agreement is high - unusually solid for this far out.

Today

2026-09-19 — every model, side by side
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Cloudy
High 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
High 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
High 17°·Low ·Rain 1%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Tomorrow

2026-09-20 — every model, side by side
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Cloudy
High 17°·Low ·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
High 16°·Low 10°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
High 17°·Low ·Rain 1%

All 3 models land within 2° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 17°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 17°±5%1% to 6% chance
Mon±1°12° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°18° to 18°±7%4% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

More for Greater Sudbury