Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather CAKawartha Lakes
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kawartha Lakes weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Kawartha Lakes today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 51% chance of rain.

17°
20°10°
15°
16°
16°
17°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 0%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Kawartha Lakes weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kawartha Lakes swings 34°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -8°C lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1004 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-8°C average low
Wettest month
April
1004 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
79,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kawartha Lakes and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Kawartha Lakes hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Kawartha Lakes 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
20°
±4°
Sat
Clear
21°
±3°
Sun
Clear
21°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
18° 13°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
14°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
15°
±3°

Kawartha Lakes, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -8°C), with roughly 1004 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kawartha Lakes right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kawartha Lakes climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
Feb
-8°
Mar
-4°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
26°
16°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-4°

Which forecast is most accurate in Canada?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C96±1.8 km/t8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±3.0 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C94±3.0 km/t5575% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 18°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±17%34% to 51% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±7%8% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kawartha Lakes

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kawartha Lakes today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Kawartha Lakes today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kawartha Lakes today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Kawartha Lakes and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kawartha Lakes?
No single model is always right. Env. Canada, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Kawartha Lakes forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested CA accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Kawartha Lakes?
July is typically the warmest month in Kawartha Lakes, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Kawartha Lakes get?
The coldest month in Kawartha Lakes is February, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does Kawartha Lakes get?
Kawartha Lakes sees roughly 1004 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather