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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Leduc weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Leduc today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 1% chance of rain.

21°
23°
24°
25°10°
19°
22°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
21°
Clear
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Clear
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Clear
Today 20°·Low ·Rain 1%
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Leduc weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Leduc swings 38°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -14°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 576 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 25 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 185 frost nights, and rain on 105 days.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-14°C average low
Wettest month
June
576 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
16,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
25 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
185 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
105 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Leduc’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Leduc and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Leduc hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Leduc 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
21°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
24°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
25° 10°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
22°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
17°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
10°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
13°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
16°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
10°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
11°
±8°

Leduc, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 576 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Leduc right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Leduc climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
-14°
Feb
-3°
-12°
Mar
-2°
-12°
Apr
11°
-1°
May
19°
Jun
21°
10°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
23°
12°
Sep
19°
Oct
10°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-1°
-8°

Which forecast is most accurate in Leduc?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.6 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C97±1.6 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C93±3.5 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 21°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 24°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±4°23° to 26°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°23° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°16° to 20°±6%1% to 7% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Leduc

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
12h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Leduc today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Leduc today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Leduc today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Leduc and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Leduc?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Leduc (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Leduc?
July is typically the warmest month in Leduc, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Leduc get?
The coldest month in Leduc is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Leduc get?
Leduc sees roughly 576 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather