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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Matane weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Matane's high today between 10° and 12°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 11°, with a 85% chance of rain.

11°
11°
11°
13°
14°
16°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
11°
Cloudy
Today 11°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Cloudy
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 1%
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Matane weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Matane swings 35°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -13°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1007 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 9 days a year at 25°C or above, 162 frost nights, and rain on 154 days.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
-13°C average low
Wettest month
August
1007 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and September
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
82/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
9 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
162 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
154 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Matane’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Matane and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Matane hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Matane 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
11°
±2°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
13°
models agree
Wed
Clear
14°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
16°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
16°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
16° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
models agree

Matane, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -13°C), with roughly 1007 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Matane right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Matane climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
-11°
Feb
-5°
-13°
Mar
-5°
Apr
-1°
May
13°
Jun
18°
12°
Jul
22°
16°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
12°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-1°
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Matane?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
83±1.0°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
77
/100rank #2
74±1.5°C90±5.0 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #3
70±1.7°C87±6.6 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 12°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 11°±36%49% to 85% chance
Mon±2°10° to 12°±30%33% to 63% chance
Tue±2°12° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Matane

today, local time
Sunrise
06:12
Sunset
18:34
Daylight
12h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Matane today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Matane today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Matane today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Matane and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Matane?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Matane (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the European at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Matane?
July is typically the warmest month in Matane, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Matane get?
The coldest month in Matane is February, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Matane get?
Matane sees roughly 1007 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather