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CheckWeather CAMercier
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Mercier weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Mercier today. Tomorrow looks rain around 16°, with a 91% chance of rain.

16°
16°
15°
15°
17°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
17°
Clear
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Partly cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Mercier weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mercier swings 36°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -10°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1265 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-10°C average low
Wettest month
August
1265 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Mercier and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mercier hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mercier 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 11°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
18°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±6°
Wed
Rain
22° 14°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 12°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
15°
±5°

Mercier, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -10°C), with roughly 1265 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Mercier right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Mercier climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-8°
Feb
-10°
Mar
-4°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
15°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
22°
13°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mercier?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C98±1.0 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C96±2.0 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C96±2.1 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°15° to 17°±34%57% to 91% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±3°13° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mercier

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:58
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mercier today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Mercier today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mercier today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Mercier and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mercier?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mercier (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mercier?
July is typically the warmest month in Mercier, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Mercier get?
The coldest month in Mercier is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Mercier get?
Mercier sees roughly 1265 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather