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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Morinville weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 20° in Morinville today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 2% chance of rain.

20°
22°
24°
24°
18°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
21°
Clear
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Mostly clear
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Mostly clear
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 1%
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Morinville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Morinville swings 38°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -14°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 569 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-14°C average low
Wettest month
July
569 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
9,848
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Morinville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morinville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morinville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
24°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
24°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
18°
±5°
Wed
Partly cloudy
21°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Fri
Rain
10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
12°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
16°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
16°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
11°
±8°

Morinville, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -14°C), with roughly 569 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Morinville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Morinville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
-14°
Feb
-4°
-12°
Mar
-3°
-11°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
18°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
22°
12°
Sep
18°
Oct
Nov
-6°
Dec
-2°
-9°

Which forecast is most accurate in Morinville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±2.9 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C93±3.5 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C93±3.7 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 21°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±4°22° to 25°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°22° to 25°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°15° to 20°±8%0% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morinville

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
12h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morinville today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Morinville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morinville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Morinville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morinville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Morinville (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morinville?
July is typically the warmest month in Morinville, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Morinville get?
The coldest month in Morinville is January, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Morinville get?
Morinville sees roughly 569 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather